GLOBAL EVENTS AFFECTING THE WAR IN UKRAINE 2024
This study develops a comprehensive model of the potential transformation of the international system through the gradual consolidation of authoritarian regimes; however…
Publications
Research
System-level and applied studies based on the TESPA framework.
Direction
Format
THE UKRAINIAN ISSUE AT THE UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY IN 2024. AN OVERVIEW OF KEY TRENDS
The study demonstrates that the 2024 UN General Assembly became a forum for competition not so much between peace plans as between models of the world order, in which the…
SCENARIOS BY RUSSIAN EXPERTS ON ENDING THE WAR IN UKRAINE (2022)
(published in 2022) The study is effectively a systematic model of Russia’s signals to the West, disguised as an analysis of three scenarios (“restoration”, “revolution”…
THE ‘RUSSIAN DONBAS’ DOCTRINE — KEY NARRATIVES ESTABLISHED BY RUSSIA (2021)
The ‘Russian Donbas’ doctrine forms a coherent ideological and political construct aimed at legitimising the Russian Federation’s claims to Ukrainian territories through…
VLADIMIR PUTIN’S ARTICLE ‘ON THE HISTORICAL UNITY OF RUSSIANS AND UKRAINIANS’ (12 JULY 2021)
The study clearly demonstrates that V. Putin’s article is not a historical or ideological piece, but a negotiating framework for the West, constructed according to the lo…
REAL AND POTENTIAL THREATS TO UKRAINE, AS SET OUT IN THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION’S SECURITY STRATEGY (2021)
The study demonstrates that the 2021 Russian Federation Security Strategy is not a collection of individual threats, but a comprehensive architecture of systemic influenc…