KEY POINTS FROM VLADIMIR PUTIN’S INTERVIEW ON 09.02.24
V. Putin’s interview (09.02.2024) was used as a signal to the West and the Global South, selected and broadcast via Russian state media Basic framework: the thesis that t…
Publications
Research
System-level and applied studies based on the TESPA framework.
Direction
Format
BRICS – RUSSIA’S ATTEMPTS TO OVERCOME THE CONSEQUENCES OF ISOLATION IN THE INTERNATIONAL ARENA 2024
(published in 2024) The study shows that BRICS is used in Russian strategy not as an independent integration project, but as a tool to offset the consequences of isolatio…
KEY POINTS FROM V. PUTIN’S SPEECH AT VALDAI (2023)
On 5 October 2023, Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered a speech at Valdai on the topic ‘Fair Multipolarity: How to Ensure Security and Development for All’. The st…
GLOBAL LEVEL, THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION AND UKRAINE, CHANGES IN THE WORLD ORDER (2022)
The study constructs a comprehensive global-level model in which the Russian Federation’s war against Ukraine is viewed not as an isolated conflict, but as part of a syst…
THE NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION OF 2 JULY 2021
(published in 2021) This study presents a comprehensive model of the Russian Federation’s strategic thinking, as set out in the 2021 National Security Strategy, where the…
US-RUSSIA RELATIONS – FAULT LINES AND POINTS OF CONTACT (2021)
The key logic running through the entire study is that Russia views the current period (up to 2024) as a transitional phase for reassessing its status within the internat…
RUSSIA’S PROPOSALS FOR DISCUSSIONS WITH THE EU ON THE TERMS FOR SHAPING A NEW WORLD ORDER (2020)
The study demonstrates Russia’s comprehensive strategy, aimed not so much at integration into the existing international order as at its transformation to suit Russia’s o…
COMPARISON OF THE ‘TRUMP DOCTRINE’ AND THE ‘GERASIMOV DOCTRINE’ — CONCLUSIONS FOR UKRAINE 2019
The study presents a comprehensive model of the Russian Federation’s strategic thinking, as set out in the 2021 National Security Strategy, where the key objective is to…
THE FORMATION OF RUSSIA’S ROLE AS A ‘LEADING BALANCING POWER’ IN THE ARCHITECTURE OF THE NEW WORLD ORDER. 2019
(published in 2019) This study reflects the attempt by Russian strategic thinking (as of 2019) to shape a new role for the Russian Federation in the world following the c…
‘GERASIMOV’S DOCTRINE’ AND RUSSIA’S INTERNATIONAL PEACEKEEPING ACTIVITIES 2019
The study describes the logic of Russia’s ‘Gerasimov Doctrine’ as a systemic model of conflict management, in which the key feature is the combination of non-military and…
Russia’s proposal as a precondition for negotiations – ‘A moratorium on mutual accusations’ (2019)
This scenario – “Russia’s proposal as a condition for negotiations: A moratorium on mutual accusations” – is currently playing out in relation to Iran’s behaviour. Russia…
G20 – THE ARMS RACE, SECURITY ISSUES (2019)
(published July 2019). The study documents a situation in which the collapse of the arms control system (the INF Treaty, with the New START Treaty in question) leads not…